An $11 Million Mistake? Foxen's Hero Call Divides the Poker World
It was the biggest pot in the history of televised poker: a staggering $11 million on the line. Alex Foxen, a titan of the tournament world, faced off against the hyper-aggressive Ossi ‘Monarch’ Ketola in a heads-up cash game that had everyone on the edge of their seat. Holding an 8-high flush, F...
It was the biggest pot in the history of televised poker: a staggering $11 million on the line. Alex Foxen, a titan of the tournament world, faced off against the hyper-aggressive Ossi ‘Monarch’ Ketola in a heads-up cash game that had everyone on the edge of their seat. Holding an 8-high flush, Foxen was put to the ultimate test when Ketola shoved all-in on the river. Foxen made the call, and the poker world exploded. Was it a gut-wrenching cooler, an unavoidable collision of two massive hands? Or was it a catastrophic blunder, a multi-million dollar mistake from a player who should have known better? The debate is fierce, pitting old-school reads and player dynamics against the cold, hard logic of game theory solvers. This hand wasn't just about the money; it was a clash of philosophies that has everyone asking the same question: what would you have done?
The Pot That Broke the Internet
It’s not every day you see a poker pot with more zeroes than a phone number. But when Ossi ‘Monarch’ Ketola and Alex Foxen sat down, you just knew something big was brewing. We’re talking about the biggest pot in televised poker history. Eleven. Million. Dollars. Let that sink in for a second. That’s life-changing money for anyone, even for these high-flying crushers.
The hand itself started innocently enough. You know how these things go. But then the board ran out, the bets got bigger, and suddenly, we were in nosebleed territory. The final moment was pure drama. With the board paired and flush possibilities everywhere, Foxen found himself holding an eight-high flush. A pretty strong hand, right? In most games, you’re getting the money in and not thinking twice. But this isn't most games.
Ketola, known for being a seriously hyper-aggressive player, made a move that would define the hand: a massive check-raise all-in on the river. The decision fell to Foxen.
Call, and you could be winning an $11 million pot. Call, and you could be wrong, sending a mountain of cash—over $6 million of your own—the other way.
He tanked. He thought. He made the call.
And he was wrong. Ketola turned over a full house. Just like that, the biggest pot ever televised was pushed to Monarch, and the poker community absolutely lost its mind.
A Cooler or a Colossal Error?
This is where the fun really begins, isn't it? The second the cards were turned over, the debate ignited. Was this just a brutal, unavoidable cooler, or did Foxen make a terrible call?
On one side, you have the “it’s a cooler” camp. They argue that holding an eight-high flush is just too strong to fold in that spot, especially heads-up. Foxen is holding one of the strongest hands he can possibly have. Folding feels almost impossible for a player wired to compete. One of the commentators, a world-renowned heads-up specialist, even defended the call live on air, arguing that against a player like Monarch, you just have to pay it off sometimes. Ketola is capable of bluffing in these spots, and if you start folding flushes, he can run you over.
But then there’s the other side. And man, they came out swinging.
Critics were quick to point out the obvious red flags. The board was paired. A check-raise on the river from an opponent, even a loose one, is an incredibly strong line. It screams monster hand. How many bluffs is Ketola really showing up with here? And an eight-high flush? It’s a good hand, but it’s far from the nuts. A lot of seasoned cash game players felt that this was a spot where a pro of Foxen’s caliber should find the fold button.
As one person put it, river check-raises are notoriously under-bluffed in practice. People just aren’t bluffing there often enough to make calling profitable with a hand that vulnerable.
Then came the nail in the coffin for the “bad call” argument: the solvers. When the hand was plugged into poker software, the machine agreed. The game theory optimal (GTO) play was to fold. In the cold, emotionless world of computer logic, calling was a losing play. This just added fuel to the fire, with many saying, “See? The ‘pro’ made a terrible call.”
Man vs. Machine vs. The Man Across the Table
Here’s the thing, though. Poker isn’t played by computers. It’s played by people. And people are messy. Foxen isn't just playing the cards; he's playing Ketola. He knows Monarch is hyper-aggressive. He knows Monarch is capable of making moves. That history, that dynamic, changes the math. Or does it?
GTO vs. Exploitative Play
This hand perfectly captures the central conflict in modern poker: GTO vs. exploitative play. The solver gives you the perfect, un-exploitable strategy. But sometimes, the right play is to deviate from that strategy to exploit your specific opponent’s tendencies. Was Foxen trying to make an exploitative call against an opponent he thought was out of line? If so, he was spectacularly wrong. But does being wrong make the decision bad?
The Format Matters
It’s also worth noting the format. This wasn't a tournament where survival is key. This was a deep-stacked heads-up cash game. Blinds are fixed, and you’re just there to win all the other guy's money. In this format, you’re often playing for stacks on thinner margins. Some argue this makes the call more understandable, while others say that being so deep (around 90 big blinds effective) gives you more room to make disciplined folds and avoid these catastrophe spots.
The Personal Element
And let's be honest, there's a personal element here too. Alex Foxen is a polarizing figure. He has his fans, but he also has a lot of detractors. You saw plenty of people who weren't exactly shedding a tear to see him lose the massive pot. It’s a reminder that in poker, personalities are as much a part of the game as the cards themselves.
The Verdict That Never Comes
So, what's the final word? There isn't one. And that’s what makes this hand so fascinating. It will be analyzed, debated, and picked apart for years. It’s a hand that has everything: massive stakes, clashing personalities, and a fundamental strategic question with no easy answer.
Some will always see it as a brain-freeze, an $11 million punt by a guy who got caught up in the moment. Others will defend it as a courageous call that just didn't work out, a necessary evil when playing against a wild opponent. Maybe the truth is somewhere in between. It was a high-variance, razor-thin decision made under immense pressure. And this time, the coin landed on the wrong side for Alex Foxen.
It’s a brutal reminder that in the world of high-stakes poker, the line between hero and zero is thinner than a playing card.